Alberta’s Bloggers Surprised By Election Results

March 4th, 2008

Here’s what Alberta’s bloggers are saying about yesterday’s election results:

Revmod.ca:

Seventy-three seats? Seventy-three seats?!? Way to vote for the change you kept telling the pollsters you wanted, Alberta! Maybe if more than 40% of you got off your asses and actually cast a ballot, you could have had some change. I suspect the next four years will prove out the canard that people get the governments they deserve.

Arrogance? You ain’t seen nothin’ yet, baby!

Calgary Grit:

Dear Alberta,

Seriously?

Yours Truly,

Calgary Grit

Right of Centre Ice:

Albertans are not sheep. They’re very independent thinkers and they’re not going to throw their vote to another party just for the hell of it. Albertans are calculating and inherently conservative creatures who are resistant to change. But that does not make them stupid or ignorant. They voted for Stelmach because Taft and Mason didn’t make a good enough argument to vote for change.

Ken Chapman:

All the people I know and who are “in the know” about these things were mostly thinking 55-60 seats and some were at the 65 level but we all admitted we did not know for sure. We were all surprised.

DJKelly:

Some of these so called “experts” may have predicted as many as 60 seats for Ed Stelmach’s Progressive Conservatives, but I heard no one predict more than 70 would be their headcount for the next four years. That is a staggering endorsement for the status quo when ALL of the build-up to the election revolved around “change”.

Gary Taje:

Well its over and I am sure there are an awful lot of surprised people tonight. Not because the Conservatives won another majority but at the size of it. A landslide in an election where for the most part everyone (including me) was feeling the PC’s would get a majority of around 50 seats. At this time (around 11PM) Ed has reduced his opposition to just 10 seats. Simply put its incredible.

Herbinator:

My first reaction is to cry in my bountiful beer. I only increased my Calgary-Fort Green vote from 5.7% in 2004 to 5.9% in 2008. And I came in last. Although I have exceeded my own success criteria, it still feels a little shallow.

Alberta Get Rich

I’m not too thrilled about this, and went though my customary “I’m moving out of this goddam province” sore-loser hissy-fit after the results started to roll in, but now that the dust has settled I am surprisingly sanguine. In fact, out of the elections observations I’m going to highlight below, only one is decisively negative. I’ll get that one out of the way first.

Election Eve Blogging

March 3rd, 2008

Here’s what Alberta’s bloggers are saying, the night before we go to the polls.

Crowsnest Pass Thoughts:

I believe it is not by accident that the PC’s ran quiet campaigns out in the hinterlands. The campaign strategy of the PC’s is definitely geared toward keeping the people opposing the current government at home secure in the belief that while they may want change there really is no point in voting for any other party. We are going to see, I am sure, the lowest voter turnout Crowsnest Pass and our province has ever seen.”

Ken Chapman:

Remember the world is run by those who show up and in a democracy you always get the government you deserve - whether you voted or not.
Show up and vote tomorrow. It is only about you having your say about the future of Alberta that is at stake here. No big whoop!

Alberta: Get Rich:

What was so bad about the campaign? We think the biggest problem is that it confirms again that critical thought has all but disappeared from the Alberta political sphere. As progressives, we’re sad that a conservative party will likely be elected, but what troubles us so much more is that this party is not being elected based on platforms and policies. It is being elected on the basis of Albertan mythologies: ‘we hate Liberals,’ ‘we hate socialists,’ ‘all governments are corrupt,’ ‘you can’t change Alberta politics,’ and ‘we vote conservative — that’s just what we do.’

Grandinite:

A good chunk of voters are parking their votes against their consience due to a simple error of omission: the inability to cast a vote for ‘none of the above’. Under the current laws, such votes would probably be tallied as spoiled ballots, when, in fact, they are an expression of true voter intent.

I’ll be looking for ‘none of the above’ on my ballot. If it’s not there, I’m writing it in.

Q & A: State of The Canadian Political Blogosphere

February 28th, 2008

See magazine asks:

I noticed the post on Alberta Blogs about election candidates who are also bloggers and was wondering if you have any idea how many political bloggers there are in Alberta? And how they break down by political persuasion? I’ve got a handful I visit regularly, but I’m sure it’s no where near the total.

That’s a good question, and it would require quite a bit of digging.

I’d have to go through all the bloggers in the blogrolls for the Blogging Tories, Dippers, Liberals, Greens and other political parties and try to figure out which ones are in Alberta.

So, telling the Alberta-specific story is quite laborious.

However, I did a small bit of digging tonight, and put the blogrolls for the Tories, Liberals,NDP and Greens into a spreadsheet. If we define this as the ‘Anglo’ blogosphere in Canada and leave out PQ blogs, here is how the percentages break down:

# of Blogs, as % of Total:

Tories Liberals NDP Green
319 260 109 146
38.25% 31.18% 13.07% 17.51%

These proportions square roughly with recent polling numbers, save for the data on the Greens.

An aside: when I did the Great Canadian Blog Survey, before the Conservatives were elected, the total vote for bloggers and blog readers, when asked which party they’d vote for, mirrored the national election numbers, when they finally came out. However, fringe parties were definitely active in the blogosphere.

Here is a salient point: Underdog parties are often over-represented in terms of bloggers. Federally, the Greens are extremely active in the blogosphere, and one might say they’re over-represented. There are many green and ‘fringe-political’ bloggers, but their audiences are small when compared to the more traditional parties. They are trying to use this form of media as ‘DIY’ media. Other formats, such as newsprint, television and radio tend to only grant a voice to parties who have seats, which serves to enforce the status quo. The blogosphere is a free-for-all, and so we see many fringe parties using the medium of blogging to get their message out. But the real question is left begging:

Who is listening?

The blogosphere seems to be structured this way: traditional parties are represented accurately and enjoy a higher number of readers per writer. Newer or more fringe parties have more a higher proportion of writers, but fewer readers. At least that’s my hunch. It makes sense, at least to me, because these parties feel like underdogs, and they possibly feel the traditional forms of media have left them behind. Thus, they are picking up readers. The real question would be in examining the rates of growth for readerships, by political party. If more people are reading fringe blogs, then alternative political paradigms might be catching on. If not, then the blogosphere is not re-shaping mass political consciousness.

A comment: it’s interesting to look at the number of blogs versus polling numbers, because telephone polls are limited. Rick Mercer sums it up well:

http://www.rickmercer.com/blog/index.cfm/2008/2/27

To save you some reading, pollsters phone people. Who have land lines. And they call during supper, when most bloggers are probably blogging. Younger people tend to blog, and younger people tend to avoid the land line and instead opt for a cellular phone. Thus, polls probably leave younger people out of the picture. And political parties actually make decisions based on these polls. So they’re leaving a younger voice out of the national debate.

While this doesn’t answer your question, it may give you some leads. To determine the specific numbers, you’d have to visit 834 blogs and figure out which ones are written by Albertans eligible to vote in the provincial election.

Alberta Bloggers . . . Who Are Also Electoral Candidates

February 25th, 2008

Did you know that some of your fellow bloggers are also political candidates?

Sure, there are candidates with blogs who never join AlbertaBlogs.com, and so this list is not a comprehensive list of bloggers who are also candidates in their ridings this election. This is a list of bloggers who have expressed their love for Alberta by joining us, who also happen to be running for election.

Herbinator

herbinator

The Herbinator (Greens) has been with Alberta Blogs for some time, and he squeaked into candidacy on the last day possible. If you’re in Calgary-Fort, check out his blog to see what he’s about.

Jane Morgan

janemorgan

Jane Morgan, who just joined Alberta Blogs, is an accountant who’s running on the Wild Rose Alliance ticket for Calgary-North Hill.

Tyler Kinch

tylerkinch

Tyler Kinch is the NDP’s candidate for Calgary North-Hays. Tyler’s been an Alberta Blogger for a while, and while he’s young, he’s definitely involved in the political process here in Alberta.

Cameron Wigmore

Cameron is running for the Greens in Calgary - Crowfoot. He’s taken a sabbatical from blogging during this election, but I know he’s quite active on facebook.

If I’ve forgotten you in this list, please send an email: albertablogs@gmail.com.

Some thoughts . . .

What does this tell us?

Well, the underdogs are using the blogosphere to get their message out. Blogging is a tool that allows one to bypass the channels of traditional media and reach a different crowd of people. To me, this is heartening news, as it confirms some of the conclusions I have reached in my studies on blogging in Canada. Namely, that so-called ‘fringe’ parties are over-represented in the blogosphere, when compared to the overall population. I find this encouraging, because this medium is allowing alternative ideas to be expressed.

And what’s with Calgarians? Why are there no Edmontonian bloggers on this list?

New Theme & RSS Capabilities Added

February 23rd, 2008

Check out the new theme. It’s simple and straight to the point. If you are having any problems viewing it, post a comment.

I’m trying to add aggregation capabilities to this blog to centralize member blog posts in one spot.

It’s Time To Cull The Herd

February 22nd, 2008

If an election didn’t get your blog fired up after months of dormancy, perhaps nothing will. Two months of inactivity will get you deleted, but you won’t be forgotten. The following blogs have been removed from the link roll, to make room for the new kids on the blog. If you’ve been deleted and wish to be re-added, email albertablogs@gmail.com

Some thoughts and statistics:

Thoughts:

The issue of ‘blog churn‘ is the reason why I track dead blogs in Alberta. For more information, please go HERE. Many new bloggers toy with the technology for a while, then they become discouraged, and simply abandon their blogs. Thus, it’s important to track the rate of growth of inactive blogs versus the rate of active ones. Why? It tells us if people are really using the technology. Sure, the blogosphere is growing, but how many of those blogs are even active?

Statistics:

* To date, 157 bloggers have joined Alberta Blogs.
* As of today, 89 remain. That is to say they have updated their blogs two months ago or less.
* In total, 68 blogs have been deleted from the blogroll since this blog began. These blogs are either dead (as in MIA), or the blogger has not updated in the two months prior to the purge.
* Although data were not gathered, bloggers who announce their impending blog-death are in the minority. The majority simply dropped out of the blogosphere.
* Latin-sounding blog names seem to have a higher propensity to quit. Having a latin-sounding blog name seems to increase your probability of NOT maintaining a blog by at least 100%.
* Any new blogger has a 57% chance of staying on the blogroll. This percentage could change, depending on when the blog purge takes place.

The Prairie Wrangler

Not Dead Yet

Inner Sanctum

The Alberta We’re Ready For

The Alberta Liberal Archive

Cerebellum Confectionery

The Alberta Times

Particles In Motion

In Coherence

The Peter Report

Ralph’s World

Fortis et Liber

Tower of Babble

Certified Bibliophile (changed to Prolegomena)

Alberta Pundit

geoffball.ca

Annuit Coeptis

Albertanicus

JohnLog

Free Alberta

Random Thoughts From Cowtown

The Muck Shoveller

Canuck Perasma

Jerry Aldini

The Catalytic Corral

8-Track Mind

Points of Information

The Alberta File

Stupid Angry Canadjun

Counterbias Blog

BumfOnline

Red Tory Blue Liberal

Capitalist Pig Vs. Socialist Swine

Political Cycles

Cannuckistan Chronicles (Changed to no-libs)

Maple Leaf Blog

What It Takes To Win

MKBraaten

Essential Ideas

Alberta Propagandists

Critter Musings

Rempelia Prime

Renewing The One Party State (closed to readers)

Impetus Java House

On The Campaign Trail

Ginger Snap Cookies

Cloud of Idiot Gas

Nick’s Cafe Canadien (Changed to Nicholas Tam)

Elephants With Wings

From A to B

Burkean Canuck

My Crochet Projects and Thoughts

Asian Wild Rose

Sports Matters

What Are Alberta’s Bloggers Saying About The Debate?

February 22nd, 2008

I’ve gone through the blogroll, and, as of Noon today, here are are the bloggers that had something to say about last night’s televised election debate. If you blogged the election debate, but do not find your blog here, then please post a comment.

Alberta: Get Rich or Die Trying:

“When the main development of a leader’s debate is someone simply not failing, when the platform of the dominant party essentially boils down to “we actually have a plan now,” and when the most compelling reason that the opposition parties can seem to find to remove the government from power (out of the stunning array available to them) is that “37 years is too long,” you know that something is rotten in Wild Rose Country.”

Daveberta:

“Overall, I don’t believe that there was clear winner of tonight’s debate. To varying degrees all of the leaders looked pretty uncomfortable in this debate, though do I believe that each of them can walk away with something to be proud of:”

CIVITATENSIS:

“To sum up, there were no knock out punches. Debates rarely have a significant effect on the outcome of an election unless there is a dramatic moment.”

La Review Gauche:

“Over all it was amateur hour, not for the leaders but the media who sponsored this whole debacle. By keeping it to short answers they failed the public in allowing for any substantial debate. They had an hour and a half, and they decided that the whole thing should be run as if it was a WWE closed ring match for two minutes a round.”

Ideas and Issues:

“The issues discussed came as no surprise to anyone: oilsands, oil royalties, infrastructure, hospitals, health care, daycare, universities, rent controls, etc.

None of the party leaders veered off script, so there were no surprises or unexpected announcements.”

The Third Edge of the Sword:

“I didn’t watch it: only a couple minutes at the end. Two things of note.

Alberta Tory:

“Some pros and cons for each.”

Calgary Grit:

“I’ll be live blogging the Alberta debate tonight as it unfolds. Until then, we’ve got a real battle of the Reids forming, with Ipsos showing Ed sailing easy and Angus showing Ed in a ton of trouble. Either way, all eyes will be on the debate tonight - if the Alberta Liberals have any chance, tonight is when Taft will have to make his move.

Oh, and I’ve got 17 minutes in the “how long does it take Ed Stelmach to bring up Trudeau or the NEP” pool.

Pierre Trudeau Is My Homeboy:

“I’m at a pub and I have to say that nobody really one that one.

And what the hell was that about on auto insurance!”

Phendrana Drifts:

“Meh. I was hoping for something more - alas. I think each leader more or less met or exceeded expectations, but at the same time without a knock-out blow or a complete screw-up I’m left calling it for Stelmach and heading for bed.”

DJKelly:

“But who won the debate? That’s what everyone wants to know. Well, despite the fact I give Hinman the highest grade I don’t think anyone will argue he “won” the debate. Mason might come the closest to being the winner but I don’t think you gave give it to him either.

Notes & Spokes:

“I don’t see anything in this debate that would change people’s minds. The biggest question still remains if the traditional conservative vote will show up at the polls this time, or stay home again like they did in 2004.”

Alberta Bloggers on the Election Debate

February 22nd, 2008

Please check it out.

http://www.cbc.ca/edmonton/features/youcast/

If you are blogging about the election debate, trackback this post. It’ll show up in the comments. It’s an easy way to centralize blog posts on the debate.

If you need help figuring out trackbacks, send me an email: albertablogs@gmail.com.

Wikipedia: Alberta 2008 General Election

February 17th, 2008

Believe it or not, Wikipedia has a nice breakdown of the Alberta Election. You can find a complete breakdown of ridings candidates, political platforms and the like.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/27th_Alberta_general_election

Alberta Blogs: Facebook Edition

February 14th, 2008

We’re on Facebook!

LINK